Generative AI Fundamentals Map
Map/Measurement and understanding/Wave 6

Contamination-resistant evals

Benchmarks in coding, maths, science and agent work that models cannot have seen or looked up.

capabilityEmerging Open on the map →

Facts

Lane
Measurement and understanding
Wave
6 of 12 (build order, not a date)
Needs
0 boxes all the way back through hard links
Unlocks
0 boxes downstream through hard links
Leverage
None
Cluster
Agents at work

Evidence as of October 2026

SWE-bench Verified is saturated at around 95% and was deprecated by OpenAI in February 2026; on the harder SWE-bench Pro the same leading model drops to 80%. Epoch reports models searching online and checking future commits to game benchmarks.

  1. 01Morph: SWE-bench Pro leaderboard and the saturation of Verified
  2. 02Epoch AI: the state of RL environments

Around it

Needs · 0

Nothing beyond the detail list. It can start at any time.

Unlocks · 1

Loops and off-ramps

Openings researchers' judgement, October 2026 scouting

Startup room 52/100 · rank 30 of 124 Research room 35/100 · rank 105 of 124
Crowding4 Lab overlap3 Small-team fit4 Buyer today3 Research openness3
Depth
light
Players
LiveCodeBench; SWE-bench Pro; Datacurve DeepSWE; WorkBuddy-Bench; data vendors
Wedge
Renewable private task supply plus contamination detection, sold to labs. startup
  1. 01AI Engineer: DeepSWE
  2. 02Pebblous: SWE-bench Verified retired