Verification bottleneck
balancing loop · 4 steps · Trace on the map →
The cycle
- Models produce more workAgent-run discovery
- More output to checkOutput verification at scale
- Checking capacity runs outScalable oversight
- Errors slip or output is throttled
What drives it
Output scales with compute but checking scales with people, so checking caps useful output.
What breaks it
Cheap automated verifiers and readable chain of thought relieve it. Verifier’s law predicts the easy-to-check fields escape first.
What to watch
Review time per AI task. Share of AI output that ships unreviewed.