Generative AI Fundamentals Map
Map/Capital and talent/Wave 2

Macro dependence on AI capex

AI investment large enough to move national growth figures.

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Facts

Lane
Capital and talent
Wave
2 of 12 (build order, not a date)
Needs
1 boxes all the way back through hard links
Unlocks
1 boxes downstream through hard links
Leverage
None: already built
Cluster
Around datacentre capex

Evidence as of October 2026

AllianceBernstein puts AI-related investment at about 8% of US GDP, adding about 1.4 percentage points to growth in 2026 and 2027. A capex pullback would now show up in GDP.

  1. 01AllianceBernstein: Proof pending, can AI deliver lasting growth?

Around it

Needs · 1
Unlocks · 1

Loops and off-ramps