Generative AI Fundamentals Map

Map/Trust and governance/Wave 10

Long-horizon value stability

Goals do not drift when nobody can check in.

capabilitySpeculative Open on the map →

Facts

Lane: Trust and governance
Wave: 10 of 12 (build order, not a date)
Needs: 18 boxes all the way back through hard links
Unlocks: 1 boxes downstream through hard links
Leverage: 0.1 points · stands in the way of 1 of 53 stages · rank 56 of 57
Cluster: Oversight and alignment

Evidence as of October 2026

Around it

Needs · 1

Scalable oversightcapability · Emerging

Unlocks · 1

Long-latency civilisationstage · Speculative

Loops and off-ramps

Capex pullbackoff-ramp · cut off
Taiwan chip disruptionoff-ramp · cut off
Power shortfalloff-ramp · cut off
Capability plateauoff-ramp · cut off
Training data ruled outoff-ramp · slowed
Misuse catastropheoff-ramp · slowed

Openings researchers' judgement, October 2026 scouting

Startup room 44/100 · rank 47 of 124 Research room 67/100 · rank 8 of 124

Crowding1 Lab overlap2 Small-team fit3 Buyer today1 Research openness5

Depth: light
Players: Meaning Alignment Institute (SFF-funded)
Wedge: Avoiding premature value lock-in while keeping values stable across successor models. research

01Long-term wiki: MAI grant