Generative AI Fundamentals Map
Map/Capital and talent/Wave 1

Capital concentrated in AI

Venture and growth capital flowing overwhelmingly into AI companies.

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Facts

Lane
Capital and talent
Wave
1 of 12 (build order, not a date)
Needs
0 boxes all the way back through hard links
Unlocks
0 boxes downstream through hard links
Leverage
None: already built
Cluster
Around datacentre capex
When
Here since 2023

Evidence as of October 2026

PitchBook counts 86% of US venture funding going to AI in the first half of 2026, and OpenAI and Anthropic alone took 43% of global startup funding. PitchBook warns that a market this dependent on one theme faces a broad correction if returns disappoint.

  1. 01AI Weekly: US venture hits $412.7B in H1 2026, AI takes 86% (PitchBook-NVCA)

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AI share of venture funding: 86% of US venture dollars in the first half of 2026.

Timeline note
AI’s share of venture funding climbed from 2023 to 86% of US venture in the first half of 2026.

  1. 01AI Weekly: US venture hits $412.7B in H1 2026, AI takes 86% (PitchBook-NVCA)

Detail boxes 2

Frontier lab oligopoly capability · Built today · helps, not required

A handful of labs that can fund frontier training.

State of AI 2026 finds “the frontier is now a three-lab race” between Anthropic, OpenAI and Google.

  1. 01State of AI 2026: research
Sovereign AI capital capability · Built today · helps, not required

State-backed funds investing in AI labs and infrastructure.

Abu Dhabi’s MGX closed a $49bn first fund and co-led OpenAI’s $122bn and Anthropic’s $30bn rounds.

  1. 01LetsDataScience: MGX closes a $49B AI fund (secondary report)

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Nothing beyond the detail list. It can start at any time.

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